Avondale Heights 1-1 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.5
No
35%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
62%
+2.2pp
35%
BTTS No
38%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
2.76/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.67
+20% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
430 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 16.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avondale Heights
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dandenong City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.56 xG 1.30
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
373 Passes 168
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
33 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2025 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-3 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
17.05.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
10.02.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 4-3 HT 2-1 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
30.07.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 3-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
30.04.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
19.06.2021 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-0 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Avondale Heights vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights and Dandenong City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Avondale Heights at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Avondale Heights and 1.00 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of Avondale Heights vs Dandenong City?

Avondale Heights 1-1 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avondale Heights vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Avondale Heights 54%, draw 23%, Dandenong City 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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