Carmarthen Town 1-4 Swansea City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.4pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-7.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +42%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Swansea City U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
22.07.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 0-4 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 GALLK
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Swansea City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City U21 cruised past Carmarthen Town 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Swansea City U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Swansea City U21?

Carmarthen Town 1-4 Swansea City U21 in the Wales - League Cup on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Swansea City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 24%, draw 26%, Swansea City U21 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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