Llantwit Major 1-2 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.61
No
33%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.0pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.6pp
67%
BTTS Yes
58%
+9.2pp
33%
BTTS No
42%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
152 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Afan Lido
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Llantwit Major 2-0 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
23.08.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 1-3 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
20.01.2024 Llantwit Major 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
06.10.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
25.03.2023 Llantwit Major 2-0 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
19.08.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-2 HT 1-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido edged past Llantwit Major 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Llantwit Major at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.17 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?

Llantwit Major 1-2 Afan Lido in the Wales - League Cup on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 47%, draw 30%, Afan Lido 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llantwit Major) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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