Hwaseong 1-0 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.43
6+ Goals
7%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
0.79/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.02
-34% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
218 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
11.2 Crosses 20.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
296 Passes 284
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 3-2 HT 2-2 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
01.07.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 4-0 HT 3-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
1-0
AWAY Busan I Park
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
163 Passes 365
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong squeezed past Busan I Park 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Hwaseong made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Hwaseong had 34% of the ball to Busan I Park's 66%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hwaseong and 3.50 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?

Hwaseong 1-0 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 29%, draw 31%, Busan I Park 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Busan I Park) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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