Busan I Park 3-2 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 25%
-19% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.7 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hwaseong
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.07.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 4-0 HT 3-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
3-2
AWAY Hwaseong
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
284 Passes 296
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park squeezed past Hwaseong 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 48% of the ball to Hwaseong's 52%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Hwaseong?

Busan I Park 3-2 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 41%, draw 28%, Hwaseong 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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