Suwon Bluewings 3-2 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.8
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.57/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.86
-8% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
429 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.2 Crosses 16.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Seongnam
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
300 Passes 332
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 1-2 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
22.06.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-0 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
05.05.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
03.10.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 0-2 HT 0-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
14.08.2022 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 4-1 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
14.05.2022 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
3-2
AWAY Seongnam
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
460 Passes 240
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings edged past Seongnam 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 63% of the ball to Seongnam's 37%, shots finished 19-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.67 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Seongnam?

Suwon Bluewings 3-2 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 51%, draw 26%, Seongnam 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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