Universitatea Cluj 1-1 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
54%
-15.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
20%
+14.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Cluj EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 23%
-18% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.60/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.36
-35% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
433 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
27.7 Crosses 12.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Cluj
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UTA Arad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.75 xG 1.47
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
491 Passes 153
83% Pass Accuracy 61%
54 Box Touches 15
41 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 0-1 HT 0-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
29.07.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
30.03.2024 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
04.02.2024 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 1-3 HT 1-2 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
15.09.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
27.04.2023 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 1-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Cluj
1-1
AWAY UTA Arad
2.61 xG 1.19
70% Ball Possession 30%
26 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
540 Passes 183
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
46 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Cluj and UTA Arad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Universitatea Cluj had 70% of the ball to UTA Arad's 30%, shots finished 26-15, expected goals 2.61 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Universitatea Cluj and 0.67 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad?

Universitatea Cluj 1-1 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Cluj 39%, draw 27%, UTA Arad 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitatea Cluj), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Cluj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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