İspanya 1-0 Arjantin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 19 Jul 2026

İspanya
1-0 HT 0-0
Arjantin
📅19/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
World Cup – 2026 Kanada/Meksika/ABD

İspanya vs Arjantin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
2.18
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
21%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
51%
1.74
4-5 Goals
14%
4.28
6+ Goals
6%
21.8
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.74 — our 51% vs market 49.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
35%
3.15
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
16%
5.04
X/2
4%
7.07
X/X
12%
3.8
2/1
4%
30.0
2/2
8%
5.38
2/X
3%
13.1
Value flag · 1/1 at 3.15 — our 35% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
42%
+12.6pp
25%
Draw
30%
-6.0pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İspanya v Arjantin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.57/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.62
-24% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
6.0 Crosses 20.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

İspanya vs Arjantin Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Arjantin
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
483 Passes 439
91% Pass Accuracy 90%
23 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.03.2018 İspanya İspanya 6-1 HT 2-1 Arjantin Arjantin HAZ
07.09.2010 Arjantin Arjantin 4-1 HT 3-0 İspanya İspanya HAZ
14.11.2009 İspanya İspanya 2-1 HT 1-0 Arjantin Arjantin HAZ
11.10.2006 İspanya İspanya 2-1 HT 1-1 Arjantin Arjantin HAZ

İspanya 1-0 Arjantin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya
1-0
AWAY Arjantin
2.29 xG 0.22
20 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
763 Passes 357
32 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH İspanya vs Arjantin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya nicked a narrow win over Arjantin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 20-2, expected goals 2.29 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İspanya's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, İspanya had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for İspanya and 1.75 for Arjantin.

What was the final score of İspanya vs Arjantin?

İspanya 1-0 Arjantin in the World Cup on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya vs Arjantin?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split İspanya 55%, draw 25%, Arjantin 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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