Fransa 4-6 İngiltere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 19 Jul 2026

Fransa
4-6 HT 0-4
İngiltere
📅19/07/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
World Cup – 2026 Kanada/Meksika/ABD

Fransa vs İngiltere Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
17%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
54%
+9.0pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
17%
Away Win
23%
-6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fransa v İngiltere — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY İngiltere EU Bookmakers 26%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
3.08/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.54
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / -32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
12.1 Crosses 22.0
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Fransa vs İngiltere Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY İngiltere
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 2.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
306 Passes 441
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.12.2022 İngiltere İngiltere 1-2 HT 0-1 Fransa Fransa DK
13.06.2017 Fransa Fransa 3-2 HT 2-1 İngiltere İngiltere HAZ
17.11.2015 İngiltere İngiltere 2-0 HT 1-0 Fransa Fransa HAZ
11.06.2012 Fransa Fransa 1-1 HT 1-1 İngiltere İngiltere AVR
17.11.2010 İngiltere İngiltere 1-2 HT 0-1 Fransa Fransa HAZ
26.03.2008 Fransa Fransa 1-0 HT 1-0 İngiltere İngiltere HAZ

Fransa 4-6 İngiltere — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa
4-6
AWAY İngiltere
2.88 xG 2.88
19 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 4
404 Passes 469
56 Box Touches 35
5 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Fransa vs İngiltere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere saw off Fransa 6-4 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fransa at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 2.88 to 2.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fransa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fransa and 1.17 for İngiltere.

What was the final score of Fransa vs İngiltere?

Fransa 4-6 İngiltere in the World Cup on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa vs İngiltere?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fransa 63%, draw 20%, İngiltere 17%. The final score 4-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fransa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fransa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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