Erzgebirge Aue 2-4 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2026

Erzgebirge Aue
2-4
Schalke 04
📅19/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Erzgebirge Aue vs Schalke 04 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
66%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
13%
+2.7pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.0pp
66%
Away Win
70%
-3.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Erzgebirge Aue v Schalke 04 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 75%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.44/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/0.50
-61% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +99%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 85%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Erzgebirge Aue vs Schalke 04 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Schalke 04
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
202 Passes 474
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.01.2022 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 0-5 HT 0-2 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
13.08.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-1 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
29.07.2018 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 HAZ
FAQ Erzgebirge Aue vs Schalke 04
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Schalke 04 beat Erzgebirge Aue 4-2 away from home in the Friendlies on 19 Jul 2026. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 2.00 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Schalke 04?

Erzgebirge Aue 2-4 Schalke 04 in the Friendlies on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated an Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 16%, draw 18%, Schalke 04 66%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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