St. Pauli 2-1 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2026

St. Pauli
2-1
HNK Gorica
📅19/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

St. Pauli vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+113% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

St. Pauli 2-1 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
2-1
AWAY HNK Gorica
17 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
FAQ St. Pauli vs HNK Gorica
Match summary & frequently asked questions

St. Pauli edged past HNK Gorica 2-1 in the Friendlies on 19 Jul 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs HNK Gorica?

St. Pauli 2-1 HNK Gorica in the Friendlies on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 58%, draw 22%, HNK Gorica 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
19 Jul 2026
11:30 Al Rayyan vs Rochdale Analysis →
12:00 Kazincbarcika vs DEAC Analysis →
14:00 Naestved vs FC Helsingor Analysis →
15:00 Erzgebirge Aue vs Schalke 04 Analysis →
17:00 Hasselt vs Royal Antwerp Analysis →
17:00 Cracovia Krakow vs Sevilla Analysis →