Chelmsford City 1-1 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.55/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.51
-8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
20.02.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
25.10.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-0 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
09.04.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
20.11.2021 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
09.11.2020 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
1-1
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City and Tonbridge Angels shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chelmsford City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 54% of the ball to Tonbridge Angels's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tonbridge Angels led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.00 for Tonbridge Angels.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?

Chelmsford City 1-1 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 45%, draw 26%, Tonbridge Angels 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelmsford City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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