Juventus 3-0 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.8
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.05
2-3
42%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.82
6+
9%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.05 — our 28% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.99
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
22%
3.58
X/2
7%
11.25
X/X
11%
5.08
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
7%
9.56
2/X
9%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Juventus win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Como The Market 20%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.86/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.68
-4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
448 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Como
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.02.2003 Como Como 1-3 HT 0-3 Juventus Juventus İTA
06.10.2002 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 0-0 Como Como İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
3-0
AWAY Como
1.20 xG 0.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 0
484 Passes 338
92% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus cruised past Como 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juventus had 58% of the ball to Como's 42%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.20 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Juventus and 1.00 for Como.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Como?

Juventus 3-0 Como in the Italy - Serie A on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Juventus 56%, draw 26%, Como 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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