Afturelding 1-0 Throttur Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.43
Over 2.5
46%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.5
No
56%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
62%
-18.2pp
56%
BTTS No
38%
+18.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
2.20/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.85
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2024 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
16.09.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
12.07.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 1-0 HT 0-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
28.08.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 3-1 HT 1-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
26.06.2021 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-3 HT 0-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
16.09.2020 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
1-0
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Throttur Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding edged past Throttur Reykjavik 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Afturelding as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Afturelding had 46% of the ball to Throttur Reykjavik's 54%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afturelding had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Afturelding and 1.00 for Throttur Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Afturelding 1-0 Throttur Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 45%, draw 30%, Throttur Reykjavik 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afturelding), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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