Energie Cottbus 1-3 Werder Bremen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 19 Aug 2024

Energie Cottbus
1-3 HT 0-2
Werder Bremen
📅19/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Germany - DFB Cup – 2024/2025

Energie Cottbus vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.18
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
58%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.87
2-3 Goals
42%
2.17
4-5 Goals
31%
2.47
6+ Goals
8%
4.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
11%
+10.7pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
58%
Away Win
72%
-14.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.9pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Energie Cottbus v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 77%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -18%
0.42/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.89
-34% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -46%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
233 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 84%
9.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
17.1 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Energie Cottbus vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Werder Bremen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.55 xG 2.24
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
254 Passes 472
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.08.2022 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 0-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AFK
21.02.2009 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
13.09.2008 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL1
03.05.2008 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL1
24.11.2007 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-2 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
31.03.2007 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1

Energie Cottbus 1-3 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
1-3
AWAY Werder Bremen
0.40 xG 4.21
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 27
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 11
248 Passes 430
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 53
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Werder Bremen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen saw off Energie Cottbus 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Werder Bremen as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 39% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 61%, shots finished 8-27, expected goals 0.40 to 4.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.67 for Werder Bremen.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Werder Bremen?

Energie Cottbus 1-3 Werder Bremen in the Germany - DFB Cup on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Werder Bremen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 22%, draw 20%, Werder Bremen 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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