TuS Koblenz 0-1 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 19 Aug 2024

TuS Koblenz
0-1 HT 0-1
Wolfsburg
📅19/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - DFB Cup – 2024/2025

TuS Koblenz vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
68%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
31.5
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
36%
4.71
4-5 Goals
34%
2.52
6+ Goals
16%
1.75
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 4.71 — our 36% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
42%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+12.6pp
15%
Draw
8%
+7.5pp
68%
Away Win
88%
-20.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

TuS Koblenz v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TuS Koblenz EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 94%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.98/2.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.97/0.49
+145% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +55%
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
199 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 498 · 86%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.9
9.0 Crosses 18.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

TuS Koblenz 0-1 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TuS Koblenz
0-1
AWAY Wolfsburg
0.35 xG 1.36
23% Ball Possession 77%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
71 Passes 460
50% Pass Accuracy 86%
4 Box Touches 31
6 Crosses 29
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH TuS Koblenz vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg squeezed past TuS Koblenz 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wolfsburg as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (71%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, TuS Koblenz had 23% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 77%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.35 to 1.36.

What was the final score of TuS Koblenz vs Wolfsburg?

TuS Koblenz 0-1 Wolfsburg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TuS Koblenz vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split TuS Koblenz 17%, draw 15%, Wolfsburg 68%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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