Wilstermann 3-0 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
1.39/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.66
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.5 Crosses 16.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Guabira
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
295 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
21.05.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 1-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
01.10.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
18.03.2022 Guabira Guabira 3-0 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann CSA
11.03.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 4-0 HT 2-0 Guabira Guabira CON CSA
31.10.2021 Wilstermann Wilstermann 2-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
3-0
AWAY Guabira
1.95 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
339 Passes 268
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wilstermann cruised past Guabira 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wilstermann as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Wilstermann had 55% of the ball to Guabira's 45%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.95 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wilstermann had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wilstermann and 1.00 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Guabira?

Wilstermann 3-0 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 53%, draw 23%, Guabira 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wilstermann), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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