Royal Pari 1-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.7pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Pari EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 30%
-15% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -10%
1.15/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.32
-7% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.3 Crosses 16.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Pari
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aurora
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.42 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
256 Passes 251
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Royal Pari Royal Pari 0-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
21.03.2024 Aurora Aurora 4-1 HT 2-1 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
20.10.2023 Royal Pari Royal Pari 2-2 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
30.04.2023 Aurora Aurora 3-0 HT 1-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
19.08.2021 Royal Pari Royal Pari 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
17.12.2020 Royal Pari Royal Pari 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Pari
1-1
AWAY Aurora
0.56 xG 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
257 Passes 267
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Royal Pari vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Pari and Aurora shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Royal Pari had 50% of the ball to Aurora's 50%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.56 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Royal Pari and 1.50 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Royal Pari vs Aurora?

Royal Pari 1-1 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Pari vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Pari win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Royal Pari 37%, draw 33%, Aurora 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Royal Pari), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Royal Pari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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