FK Sarajevo 3-1 GOSK Gabela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.4
No
44%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
78%
-15.4pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.2pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
38%
+18.3pp
44%
BTTS No
62%
-18.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.49/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.34
+10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY GOSK Gabela
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 6
16.03.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 4-0 HT 2-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
09.12.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 0-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
02.09.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
3-1
AWAY GOSK Gabela
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs GOSK Gabela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo saw off GOSK Gabela 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 67% of the ball to GOSK Gabela's 33%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FK Sarajevo and 0.67 for GOSK Gabela.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs GOSK Gabela?

FK Sarajevo 3-1 GOSK Gabela in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs GOSK Gabela?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 62%, draw 19%, GOSK Gabela 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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