Botafogo SP 1-1 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 Aug 2024

Botafogo SP
1-1 HT 1-1
Paysandu
📅19/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Botafogo SP vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.81
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo SP v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
0.94/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.49
-16% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
277 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
21.3 Crosses 24.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3

Botafogo SP vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Paysandu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.69 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
263 Passes 247
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Paysandu Paysandu 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
09.05.2022 Paysandu Paysandu 4-1 HT 1-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRE3

Botafogo SP 1-1 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
1-1
AWAY Paysandu
0.44 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP and Paysandu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 50% of the ball to Paysandu's 50%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.44 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paysandu led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botafogo SP and 2.50 for Paysandu.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Paysandu?

Botafogo SP 1-1 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 38%, draw 28%, Paysandu 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botafogo SP), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo SP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →