Paysandu 1-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.53/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.01
-13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
27.0 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Botafogo SP
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2022 Paysandu Paysandu 4-1 HT 1-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
1-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.40 xG 0.69
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
247 Passes 263
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paysandu and Botafogo SP shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paysandu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Paysandu had 47% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 53%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.40 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Botafogo SP?

Paysandu 1-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 42%, draw 31%, Botafogo SP 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paysandu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paysandu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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