Sport Recife vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
0-2
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
Sport Recife 2-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife got the better of Vila Nova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sport Recife as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sport Recife had 44% of the ball to Vila Nova's 56%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.09 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sport Recife and 0.00 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Vila Nova?
Sport Recife 2-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 43%, draw 27%, Vila Nova 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Recife), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.