Avai vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avai v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Avai vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Avai
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
1-2
HT 1-2
Santos
BR1
3-1
HT 2-1
Avai
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Avai
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
Avai 0-2 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Santos saw off Avai 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Avai had 50% of the ball to Santos's 50%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.15 to 1.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Avai and 1.17 for Santos.
What was the final score of Avai vs Santos?
Avai 0-2 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avai vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated an Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Avai 32%, draw 27%, Santos 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.