Ituano 0-2 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Apr 2024

Ituano
0-2 HT 0-1
Operario PR
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Ituano vs Operario PR Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
26%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.65
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
36%
+8.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.5pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ituano v Operario PR — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ituano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.11/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.06
+0% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
22.3 Crosses 14.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Ituano vs Operario PR Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ituano
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Operario PR
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.66 xG 1.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
272 Passes 346
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.08.2022 Ituano Ituano 0-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
21.05.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 3-2 HT 0-1 Ituano Ituano BR2

Ituano 0-2 Operario PR — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ituano
0-2
AWAY Operario PR
0.78 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
317 Passes 348
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ituano vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR got the better of Ituano 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ituano at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ituano had 50% of the ball to Operario PR's 50%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.78 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Operario PR led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ituano and 1.50 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Ituano vs Operario PR?

Ituano 0-2 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ituano vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ituano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ituano 45%, draw 29%, Operario PR 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ituano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ituano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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