Botev Vratsa 2-0 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.8pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 20%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.33/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.33
-25% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
07.07.2018 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
2-0
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa got the better of Septemvri Sofia 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Botev Vratsa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 46% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 54%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

Botev Vratsa 2-0 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 51%, draw 27%, Septemvri Sofia 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Vratsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
19 Aug 2024
21:15 Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Analysis →