KTP Kotka 3-3 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.53
2-3 Goals
35%
2.02
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
16%
6.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 25%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
2.63/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.69
+28% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
5W-1D-0L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.06.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
24.04.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 5-1 HT 3-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
12.08.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
11.06.2022 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-1 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
07.09.2020 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
04.07.2020 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
3-3
AWAY SJK Akatemia
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka and SJK Akatemia couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. KTP Kotka carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 51% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 49%, shots finished 14-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for KTP Kotka and 0.33 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia?

KTP Kotka 3-3 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 55%, draw 24%, SJK Akatemia 22%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KTP Kotka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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