Ajax II 0-0 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.52
2-3 Goals
39%
2.13
4-5 Goals
28%
2.51
6+ Goals
14%
5.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.82
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.37
X/2
11%
6.82
X/X
12%
6.45
2/1
11%
20.95
2/2
14%
3.9
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.2pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.40/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.58
+27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
11.5 Crosses 12.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.91 xG 1.58
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
528 Passes 267
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.02.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 3-0 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
01.09.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-1 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
20.02.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-2 HT 2-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
16.09.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 4-1 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
29.04.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
27.09.2021 Ajax II Ajax II 3-1 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
0-0
AWAY MVV Maastricht
0.98 xG 1.08
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
471 Passes 268
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs MVV Maastricht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II and MVV Maastricht fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax II had 60% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 40%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.98 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ajax II and 1.67 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs MVV Maastricht?

Ajax II 0-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 43%, draw 25%, MVV Maastricht 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajax II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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