Celaya 3-1 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-11.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celaya EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.60/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.33
-15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
354 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celaya
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.02.2024 Celaya Celaya 3-1 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
26.10.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-4 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
09.02.2023 Celaya Celaya 4-2 HT 1-2 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
03.08.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
23.03.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-2 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
03.11.2021 Celaya Celaya 2-2 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Celaya vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celaya got the better of Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celaya as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Celaya and 1.00 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Celaya vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Celaya 3-1 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celaya vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Celaya 56%, draw 21%, Dorados De Sinaloa 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celaya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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