Deportivo Ocotal 2-2 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.33/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.23
-12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jalapa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.04.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-1 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
10.11.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
04.09.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-3 HT 1-2 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
17.04.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
13.11.2022 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-3 HT 0-2 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
14.08.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 0-3 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Ocotal and Jalapa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Ocotal at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 1.33 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Jalapa?

Deportivo Ocotal 2-2 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Ocotal win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 47%, draw 25%, Jalapa 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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