Tondela vs Porto II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tondela v Porto II — Team-Based Signals
Tondela vs Porto II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tondela 2-2 Porto II — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela and Porto II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Tondela had 37% of the ball to Porto II's 63%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.06 to 1.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto II led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tondela and 0.83 for Porto II.
What was the final score of Tondela vs Porto II?
Tondela 2-2 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tondela vs Porto II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tondela 39%, draw 28%, Porto II 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tondela), Under 2.5 went the other way.