Tondela 0-0 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 28% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tondela EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.51/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.24
+3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.1 Crosses 18.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tondela
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Porto II
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.64
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
317 Passes 477
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 1-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
22.05.2023 Tondela Tondela 0-1 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
15.01.2023 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
05.11.2014 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 1-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
02.03.2014 Porto II Porto II 1-0 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
0-0
AWAY Porto II
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Tondela vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tondela and Porto II fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Tondela at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tondela had 50% of the ball to Porto II's 50%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Porto II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Tondela and 1.00 for Porto II.

What was the final score of Tondela vs Porto II?

Tondela 0-0 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tondela vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tondela 42%, draw 29%, Porto II 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tondela), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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