Leixoes vs Penafiel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leixoes v Penafiel — Team-Based Signals
Leixoes vs Penafiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Leixoes
POR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Leixoes
POR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Leixoes
POR2
2-0
HT 2-0
Penafiel
POR2
Leixoes 0-1 Penafiel — Actual Match Statistics
Penafiel edged past Leixoes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Penafiel found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Leixoes had 62% of the ball to Penafiel's 38%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.45 to 1.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Leixoes and 1.00 for Penafiel.
What was the final score of Leixoes vs Penafiel?
Leixoes 0-1 Penafiel in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Penafiel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 40%, draw 28%, Penafiel 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leixoes) went the other way.