Torreense 1-2 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.27
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.91/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.88
+35% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
235 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.6 Crosses 15.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.46 xG 0.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
337 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
1-2
AWAY Santa Clara
1.37 xG 2.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
412 Passes 310
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara squeezed past Torreense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Santa Clara made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torreense had 57% of the ball to Santa Clara's 43%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.37 to 2.09.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Santa Clara?

Torreense 1-2 Santa Clara in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Torreense 32%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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