Estrela vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estrela v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals
Estrela vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Famalicao
POR
Estrela 0-3 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics
Famalicao swept aside Estrela 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Famalicao made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Estrela had 51% of the ball to Famalicao's 49%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.69 to 1.91.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estrela had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Estrela and 0.00 for Famalicao.
What was the final score of Estrela vs Famalicao?
Estrela 0-3 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estrela vs Famalicao?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estrela 38%, draw 27%, Famalicao 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.