Famalicao 0-0 Estrela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
13%
4.21
X/2
7%
7.19
X/X
14%
4.03
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
14%
5.94
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.26/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.86
-12% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +60%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.3 Crosses 15.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estrela
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 1.61
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
239 Passes 421
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Estrela Estrela 1-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
0-0
AWAY Estrela
0.90 xG 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
243 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Estrela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao and Estrela played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Famalicao had 45% of the ball to Estrela's 55%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.90 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Estrela?

Famalicao 0-0 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Estrela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 44%, draw 28%, Estrela 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Famalicao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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