Akron 1-2 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.49
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
8%
6.13
X/2
18%
4.91
X/X
8%
4.28
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.29
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 45%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
0.56/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.18
-19% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +73%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
12.0 Crosses 17.9
7.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 4-0 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUK
13.05.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 3-2 HT 3-1 Akron Akron RUS1
23.10.2022 Akron Akron 0-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS1
20.06.2022 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
1-2
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.09 xG 0.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
313 Passes 259
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akron vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan nicked a narrow win over Akron 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rubin Kazan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Akron had 53% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 47%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.09 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Akron and 2.00 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Akron vs Rubin Kazan?

Akron 1-2 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Akron 31%, draw 25%, Rubin Kazan 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rubin Kazan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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