Makhachkala 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.15
2-3 Goals
47%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.83
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.5
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
15%
5.57
X/2
14%
4.97
X/X
11%
3.46
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
10%
3.84
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+6.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 40%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
0.57/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.13
-100% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
12.0 Crosses 14.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
1-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.18 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
292 Passes 289
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
8 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala nicked a narrow win over FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Makhachkala found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Makhachkala had 50% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 50%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.18 to 1.20 — on chances, FC Akhmat Grozny could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Makhachkala 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 39%, draw 27%, FC Akhmat Grozny 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Makhachkala), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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