Thai Port FC 5-1 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 17%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.64/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.52
+1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
439 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.1 Crosses 14.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 Passes 276
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
04.04.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-3 HT 2-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
30.10.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
09.03.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
14.11.2021 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-4 HT 0-2 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
5-1
AWAY Chiangrai United
2.46 xG 0.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 9
237 Passes 331
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC ran out comfortable winners over Chiangrai United 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thai Port FC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 42% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 58%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.46 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Thai Port FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Thai Port FC and 1.00 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United?

Thai Port FC 5-1 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 60%, draw 22%, Chiangrai United 18%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thai Port FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →