Bayswater City 1-1 Stirling Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.4pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.64/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.55
+14% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
429 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayswater City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stirling Lions
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2025 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 0-3 HT 0-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
29.06.2024 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-4 HT 0-2 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
30.03.2024 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 0-2 HT 0-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
16.02.2024 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-2 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions BAGS
12.08.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-2 HT 0-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
29.04.2023 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 1-3 HT 0-2 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Bayswater City vs Stirling Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayswater City and Stirling Lions shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bayswater City at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayswater City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bayswater City and 1.50 for Stirling Lions.

What was the final score of Bayswater City vs Stirling Lions?

Bayswater City 1-1 Stirling Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayswater City vs Stirling Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayswater City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bayswater City 57%, draw 18%, Stirling Lions 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayswater City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayswater City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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