Bayswater City 1-4 Stirling Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.46/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.02
+57% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayswater City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stirling Lions
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 0-2 HT 0-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
16.02.2024 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-2 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions BAGS
12.08.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-2 HT 0-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
29.04.2023 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 1-3 HT 0-2 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
06.08.2022 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-3 HT 0-2 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
14.05.2022 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Bayswater City vs Stirling Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Lions swept aside Bayswater City 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stirling Lions as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bayswater City and 1.50 for Stirling Lions.

What was the final score of Bayswater City vs Stirling Lions?

Bayswater City 1-4 Stirling Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayswater City vs Stirling Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stirling Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bayswater City 35%, draw 24%, Stirling Lions 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stirling Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stirling Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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