Mirassol FC 1-1 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 19 Aug 2025

Mirassol FC
1-1 HT 0-1
Cruzeiro
📅19/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Mirassol FC vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.15
6+ Goals
10%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.09
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
13%
5.63
X/2
13%
5.3
X/X
8%
4.07
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.72
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
35%
+7.3pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mirassol FC v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 40%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.95/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.97
+117% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +97%
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.0 Crosses 18.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mirassol FC vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.69 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
373 Passes 284
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.03.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 2-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1

Mirassol FC 1-1 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
1-1
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.37 xG 1.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
253 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 10
35 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC and Cruzeiro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 47% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 53%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.37 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Cruzeiro?

Mirassol FC 1-1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 42%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mirassol FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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