Cruzeiro 2-1 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Mar 2025

Cruzeiro
2-1 HT 2-1
Mirassol FC
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.61
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
4.56
6+ Goals
9%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.05
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
14%
3.97
X/2
8%
11.7
X/X
18%
4.47
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
9%
10.75
2/X
6%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
58%
-14.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.8pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruzeiro v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.7 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Cruzeiro 2-1 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
2-1
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.14 xG 1.69
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
284 Passes 373
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro squeezed past Mirassol FC 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 44% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 56%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.14 to 1.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Mirassol FC?

Cruzeiro 2-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 44%, draw 32%, Mirassol FC 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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