Fortaleza 2-0 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
16%
5.81
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.61
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.97
X/2
7%
6.19
X/X
13%
3.57
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
16%
5.04
2/X
9%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -19%
1.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.37
+12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.3 Crosses 16.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fluminense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.91 xG 1.14
33% Ball Possession 67%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
196 Passes 484
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 1-2 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
07.07.2024 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
03.09.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
29.04.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 4-2 HT 2-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
11.09.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 2-1 HT 1-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
18.08.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 0-2 Fortaleza Fortaleza BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
2-0
AWAY Fluminense
0.90 xG 0.81
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
217 Passes 612
77% Pass Accuracy 91%
10 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fortaleza vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza beat Fluminense 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Fortaleza found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fortaleza had 30% of the ball to Fluminense's 70%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.90 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fortaleza and 1.50 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Fluminense?

Fortaleza 2-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 39%, draw 30%, Fluminense 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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