Gremio 2-1 Atletico Mineiro — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Mar 2025

Gremio Elo 1661 · World #402 (clubs) WDLDD→
2 - 1 HT 2 - 0
Atletico Mineiro Elo 1720 · World #230 (clubs) LWDWW→
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 06:21
Match Result
Home
36%
2.45
Draw
33%
2.96
Away
31%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
61%
1.59
Over
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.48
2-3
46%
1.83
4-5
16%
5.06
6+
3%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.9
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
14%
5.39
X/2
12%
5.81
X/X
22%
3.81
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.37
2/X
5%
13.95
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Gremio v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Gremio The Market 41%
Signal
AWAY Atletico Mineiro The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.04 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
1.12 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3

Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.51 xG 1.74
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
308 Passes 414
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.10.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 2-1 Gremio Gremio BR1
01.09.2024 Gremio Gremio 2-3 HT 2-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
26.11.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-0 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
23.07.2023 Gremio Gremio 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
10.12.2021 Gremio Gremio 4-3 HT 3-2 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
04.11.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1

Gremio 2-1 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
2 - 1
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.89 xG 2.84
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 11
198 Passes 475
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gremio nicked a narrow win over Atletico Mineiro 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Gremio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Gremio had 32% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 68%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 0.89 to 2.84 — on chances, Atletico Mineiro could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gremio and 2.17 for Atletico Mineiro.

Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro Result & Final Score

Gremio 2 - 1 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gremio 36%, draw 33%, Atletico Mineiro 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gremio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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