Palmeiras 0-0 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.13
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.23
X/2
9%
10.8
X/X
11%
4.73
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
11%
9.15
2/X
6%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.72/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.43
+1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
23.8 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Botafogo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.68 xG 1.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
335 Passes 234
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.11.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-3 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
22.08.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-2 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo LKU
15.08.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 2-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras LKU
18.07.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
02.11.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 3-4 HT 3-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
25.06.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
0-0
AWAY Botafogo
1.37 xG 0.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
433 Passes 287
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 28
27 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras and Botafogo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Palmeiras had 58% of the ball to Botafogo's 42%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.37 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palmeiras and 2.00 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Botafogo?

Palmeiras 0-0 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 48%, draw 25%, Botafogo 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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