Palmeiras vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 3-0
Palmeiras
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Botafogo
BR1
1-3
HT 1-2
Palmeiras
BR1
Palmeiras 1-3 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo saw off Palmeiras 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Palmeiras had 55% of the ball to Botafogo's 45%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.54 to 1.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Palmeiras and 1.67 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
Palmeiras 1-3 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 48%, draw 25%, Botafogo 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.