Botafogo vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 3-0
Palmeiras
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Botafogo
BR1
1-3
HT 1-2
Palmeiras
BR1
4-0
HT 3-0
Botafogo
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
Botafogo 2-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo squeezed past Palmeiras 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Botafogo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Botafogo had 51% of the ball to Palmeiras's 49%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.66 to 0.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Botafogo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Botafogo and 2.00 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
Botafogo 2-1 Palmeiras in the Copa Libertadores on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 36%, draw 26%, Palmeiras 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.