Botafogo vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 3-0
Palmeiras
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Botafogo
BR1
1-3
HT 1-2
Palmeiras
BR1
4-0
HT 3-0
Botafogo
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
Botafogo 1-0 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo edged past Palmeiras 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Botafogo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Botafogo had 43% of the ball to Palmeiras's 57%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.77 to 1.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botafogo and 2.17 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
Botafogo 1-0 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 38%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.