Sao Paulo vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sao Paulo v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo nicked a narrow win over Gremio 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 54% to 46% in Sao Paulo's favour, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.88 to 1.48 — on chances, Gremio could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Sao Paulo against 1.17 for Gremio.
Sao Paulo vs Gremio Result & Final Score
Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sao Paulo vs Gremio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 62%, draw 24%, Gremio 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.