Sao Paulo vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Gremio
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BRK
Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo nicked a narrow win over Gremio 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 54% of the ball to Gremio's 46%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.88 to 1.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gremio.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.17 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 50%, draw 26%, Gremio 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.