Fortaleza vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BRK
3-0
HT 2-0
Vitoria
BRK
Fortaleza 3-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza beat Vitoria 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortaleza as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortaleza had 48% of the ball to Vitoria's 52%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.02 to 1.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortaleza and 0.33 for Vitoria.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Vitoria?
Fortaleza 3-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Vitoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 50%, draw 28%, Vitoria 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.